Story · abc_au + bluesky + websearch · 25 events
ASX to rise; Fed expected to hold rates - AFR
ASX to rise; Fed expected to hold rates - AFR
Markets
Equity Markets
Markets Live
Print article
Natasha Rudra
Updated
Jun 18, 2026 – 6.42am
,
first published at
3.43am
Key Posts
1 hr ago
—
5.08AM
Treasury yields leap
3 hrs ago
—
4.53AM
Warsh announces changes to Fed operations
3 hrs ago
—
4.25AM
Fed chief Warsh appears to forgo a ‘dot’ indicating his rate-path view
3 hrs ago
—
4.24AM
Fed holds rates steady, sees hike later in year
4 hrs ago
—
3.44AM
SpaceX declines for first time since IPO
4 hrs ago
—
3.43AM
Investors fear Warsh’s views on inflation could stoke volatility
Advertisement
Go to latest
Pinned post
–
3.43AM
Before the Bell: ASX to open lower
Natasha Rudra
Share post
Copy link
Copied
Email
LinkedIn
Twitter
Facebook
Copy link
Copied
Share via...
Last updated 6.30am
Australian shares are set to open lower as the US Federal Reserve held rates steady in the first decision under Donald Trump’s chosen new chairman, Kevin Warsh.
ASX futures were down 65 points or 0.7 per cent to 8888.
Wall Street slipped as the Fed held rates for the fourth meeting in a row but half of policymakers indicated they expected a rate hike later in 2026.
The S
&
P 500 fell and erased an earlier, mod…
Live: ASX set to rise on US-Iran peace hopes, Wall St lifts on SpaceX IPO debut
Live: ASX set to rise on US-Iran peace hopes, Wall St lifts on SpaceX IPO debut
Wall Street closed the week higher, buoyed by hopes of peace in the Middle East and a successful debut of the SpaceX float. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX to open higher, oil prices jump on lingering US-Iran uncertainty, AI stocks push Wall Street to record highs
Live: ASX to open higher, oil prices jump on lingering US-Iran uncertainty, AI stocks push Wall Street to record highs
Oil prices jump to a one-week high as the US and Iran provide conflicting updates about how peace talks between the warring nations are progressing. The Australian share market is likely to start its day higher after a surge in AI stocks pushed Wall Street to new record highs. Follow live.
Live: ASX likely to open higher, AI-buying frenzy drives Dow to record high
Live: ASX likely to open higher, AI-buying frenzy drives Dow to record high
The Australian share market is likely to have a cautious start to the new financial year, while an AI stock-led rally boosted the Dow Jones to a record high for a second straight day. Follow live.
ASX Today Live Market Report & Financial News - Morningstar
ASX Today Live Market Report & Financial News - Morningstar
Australia's share market has clutched a fourth straight session of gains, buoyed by miners as oil prices extended losses with more details of the US-Iran peace deal emerging.
The S&P/ASX200 overcame an early slump to gain 48.6 points on Wednesday, up 0.54 per cent, to 8,966.3, as the broader All Ordinaries advanced 54.6 points, or 0.6 per cent, to 9,185.9.
Energy stocks fell more than two per cent as oil prices dropped to levels not seen since the first days of the Persian Gulf conflict, amid reports both Iran and the US claim the Hormuz Strait - a thoroughfare for a fifth of global crude and natural gas supplies - could be open by Friday.
Resurgent investor confidence helped miners rally as gold stocks bounced and the financial sector firmed to three-week highs as Macquarie shares topped $250 for the first time.
"The ASX 200 certainly has a spring in its step, and it's looking like we're closing in on a test of that mid-April high," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore told AAP.
"In terms of the best performing areas today it has been the heavy materials sector, we're seeing good gains from copper miners and from gold mi…
Markets Live | Australian Financial Review - AFR
Markets Live | Australian Financial Review - AFR
Shares hold on for a small weekly gain; BHP’s biggest loss since April 2025; CSL rises the most since 2022 in defensive rotation; oil rebounds as US-Iran talks off. Follow live.
Most sectors fall as markets price US rate rise by October; Brent drops to multi-month low; Lifestyle Communities soars on sales growth; HSBC Australia pays $35 million fine. Follow live.
Most sectors close up; iron ore falls below $US100; Macquarie and BHP hit fresh highs; travel stocks jump on Middle East travel advice change; ARN rockets on Sandilands settlement. Follow live.
Shares recover from heavy selling at the open; Bullock says RBA does not expect recession; BHP ends at record; CBA, banks rebound amid households relief. Follow live.
Shares, $A, gold and bitcoin spike peace deal; Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting takes $1.4 billion stake in SpaceX; BHP resets high on copper rally; oil pullback hits energy stocks. Follow live.
Shares at highest in five weeks; BHP jumps on copper rally; ASIC secures record penalty over Union Standard misconduct; Barrenjoey buys back big stake from ex-employee. Follow live.
Most sectors end higher; Coles and CS…
Live: ASX set for strong start after Wall Street rebounds
Live: ASX set for strong start after Wall Street rebounds
The ASX is set for a strong start after Wall Street rallied and oil prices tumbled. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX set to slip despite strength in global markets
Live: ASX set to slip despite strength in global markets
The ASX looks likely to open lower despite the Gulf cease fire holding and a positive sentiment on global markets. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
ASX ends down ahead of expected RBA rate rise; A2 Milk dives on recall
ASX ends down ahead of expected RBA rate rise; A2 Milk dives on recall
Markets
Equity Markets
Markets Live
Print article
Matt Bell
Updated
May 4, 2026 – 4.28pm
,
first published at
7.32am
Key Posts
4.25PM
—
May 4, 2026
ASX ends lower as traders await RBA; NAB drops
3.46PM
—
May 4, 2026
China’s demand split deepens, casting shadow over commodities: CBA
3.36PM
—
May 4, 2026
Bitcoin tops $US80k for three-month high
3.22PM
—
May 4, 2026
Dubai Airport passenger traffic dives 66pc on Iran war
3.00PM
—
May 4, 2026
Austal awarded $136m Border Force contract extension
2.49PM
—
May 4, 2026
Inflation shock to drive rates higher for longer: Janus Henderson
Advertisement
Go to latest
Pinned post
–
4.25PM
–
May 4, 2026
ASX ends lower as traders await RBA; NAB drops
Matt Bell
Share post
Copy link
Copied
Email
LinkedIn
Twitter
Facebook
Copy link
Copied
Share via...
The Australian sharemarket closed lower on Monday as investors awaited the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate decision and direction on future monetary policy, as the Middle East war reignites inflationary concerns.
The S
&
P/ASX 200 Index dropped 32.7 points, or by 0.4 per cent, to 8697.10 after trading between a low of 8675.4 …
Live: Wall Street and European stocks rebound, ASX 200 set to flatline on opening
Live: Wall Street and European stocks rebound, ASX 200 set to flatline on opening
Wall Street and European stocks have rebounded from losses connected to fears about conflict in the Middle East.
Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX set to rise after Dow record
Live: ASX set to rise after Dow record
The ASX is expected to open higher after weaker US jobs data eased interest rate hike expectations. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX to open lower as the price of oil drops
Live: ASX to open lower as the price of oil drops
The ASX is set to open lower, following a sea of red on Wall Street. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Markets go up, markets go down.
Breaking news.
*Someone tell them about the ASX 🤯
#auspol
ASX 200 LIVE: ASX to open higher, oil rallies on heightening US-Iran ...
ASX 200 LIVE: ASX to open higher, oil rallies on heightening US-Iran ...
Australian shares are poised to open up; gold, oil rally on US-Iran tensions; Rio takes control of Quebec lithium miner. Follow live.
London’s FTSE 100 closed at a fresh peak on Wednesday after signs of cooling inflation bolstered expectations of a Bank of England rate cut as soon as March, while miners rallied on surging metal prices.
The blue-chip FTSE 100 ended up 1.2 per cent at 10,686.18 points, marking a record high for a second straight day. The FTSE 250 midcap index added 0.5 per cent to a four-year-high. London-listed miners advanced, with Antofagasta and Anglo American up 10.5 per cent and 4.6 per cent respectively, leading the FTSE 100 as copper prices climbed. Glencore rose 4.4 per cent after reporting slightly lower annual earnings and announcing a $US2 billion shareholder payout. “Investors keep piling into UK assets as these hardly feature battered technology or software stocks and instead benefit from high energy and precious metal prices,” said Axel Rudolph, senior financial analyst at IG. “With valuations around half of their US peers, UK stock indices remain an attractive proposition for ma…
Live: Renewed Gulf hostilities put markets on edge, ASX poised for marginal gain
Live: Renewed Gulf hostilities put markets on edge, ASX poised for marginal gain
Wall Street was weighed down by another bout of selling in the tech sector. The ASX is priced to edged higher despite renewed hostilities in the Gulf
Live: Auction clearance rates at 2022 housing downturn levels, ASX climbs
Live: Auction clearance rates at 2022 housing downturn levels, ASX climbs
Auction clearance rates have fallen to levels not seen since the 2022 housing downturn. The ASX is up solidly as oil prices drop on hopes of a Middle East peace deal. Follow live.
Live: ASX tipped lower despite Wall St gains, AUD flat, oil retreats
Live: ASX tipped lower despite Wall St gains, AUD flat, oil retreats
ASX futures are pointing to a slight decline to begin winter, with the Australian share market expected to open about 13 points lower. The weakness comes despite a solid finish on Wall Street on Friday, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all ending higher. Follow our live business blog.
Live: ASX to rise after tech rally on Wall Street
Live: ASX to rise after tech rally on Wall Street
Oil prices have dropped again as investors hope for peace in the Middle East and an end to the global energy shock. Follow the day's events and insights as they happen with our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX set to open lower as price of oil surges
Live: ASX set to open lower as price of oil surges
The ASX is set to open lower in morning trading as the price of oil surges. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
ASX 200 Live Today - Friday, 29th May - Market Index
ASX 200 Live Today - Friday, 29th May - Market Index
[2:10 pm]The ASX 200 is currently up 1.35%, and on track to finish the week 0.55% higher. It got a little dark on Thursday, but everything is pretty much back to moving in the right direction.
Aussie 10-year down2 bps to 4.83%, trading at the lowest since 6 March and down 27 bps in the last eight sessions
US 10-year yield fell1 bp overnight to 4.43% and down 23 bps in the last seven sessions
Brent settled 0.5% lowerovernight to US$92,64, trading fractionally lower today and down 11.5% for the week
ASX 200 VIX down6% to 12.0, S&P 500 VIX down 3% to 15.73 (lowest since 23-Jan)
As for sector performance:
Minersbuoyed the market this week, with S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index up six of the last seven sessions, and within 3% of all-time highs
Discretionarysector appears to have bottomed after a ~30% drawdown between Aug-25 and mid-May, with the Discretionary index up 8.5% over the last three weeks
Techstocks have been incredibly calm, up for the week but basically flat over the past two weeks
Telcosstruggled amid a pullback for Telstra (down 6% in the last eight sessions)
That's a wrap for this week, have a good weekend and let…
Live: ASX headed for cautious start, Wall Street jumps as AI-related stocks rebound
Live: ASX headed for cautious start, Wall Street jumps as AI-related stocks rebound
The Australian share market is likely to start its day relatively flat despite a rebound in oil prices ahead of the next round of US-Iran peace talks. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record high. Follow live.
ASX 200 Live: Takeover Bids, Oil Price Moves and Big Corporate ...
ASX 200 Live: Takeover Bids, Oil Price Moves and Big Corporate ...
Aditi Sarkar brings over two years of experience in equity-focused research and secondary analysis, underpinned by a strong academic foundation. She specialises in assessing market trends, industry structures, and competitive landscapes to deliver clear, actionable insights for investors. Her research credentials are strengthened by multiple publications in peer-reviewed scientific journals, reflecting strong analytical rigour and subject-matter depth. She joined the Kalkine team in April 2024 and holds a postgraduate degree in life sciences.
Image Source: shutterstock
You are reading a free article with opinions that may differ from the recommendation given by Kalkine in its paid research reports. Become a Kalkine member today toget access to our research reports, in-depth technical and fundamental research.Learn more
Highlights
Australian shares delivered their strongest session in weeks on Monday, with the S&P/ASX 200 surging 170.8 points, or 1.978 per cent, to close at 8,804.00 — a level that reflects an equity market buoyed by a major geopolitical breakthrough, sharply lower energy prices, and a flurry of …
Closing Bell: ASX hit by hawkish RBA, but resources stocks shine on
Closing Bell: ASX hit by hawkish RBA, but resources stocks shine on
Closing Bell: ASX hit by hawkish RBA, but resources stocks shine on
News
30 Sep 2025
Nadine McGrath
Share
ASX down, RBA holds rates … now what? Pic: Getty images
ASX closes 0.16% lower with nine of the 11 sectors in the red; materials led gainers; energy was leader of the laggards
RBA keeps rates on hold at 3.6%, citing concerns inflation in the September quarter may be higher than expected
Embedded finance firm Stakk jumps 82% after signing a three-year agreement with T-Mobile USA, following a similar deal with Robinhood
The ASX 200 fell decisively lower in afternoon trade to close down 0.16% to 8848.80 points after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate on hold at 3.6%, following a choppy morning that saw the index rise and fall before settling flat by lunchtime.
The RBA’s decision saw the Aussie dollar rise ~0.4% to US66.01 cents, peaking at 66.08 US cents, while government bond yields also climbed higher.
In its announcement
today the RBA cited concerns that “inflation in the September quarter may be higher than expected” at the time of its August meeting, where it lowered the cash rate by 25bp…
Live: ASX is set top open lower as price of oil drops
Live: ASX is set top open lower as price of oil drops
The Aussie share market is set to open lower as the price of oil drops. Follow the day's events and insights from our business reporters on the ABC News live markets blog.
Live: ASX 200 rises after Dow closes at record high, oil falls under $US100
Live: ASX 200 rises after Dow closes at record high, oil falls under $US100
The Australian share market has defied expectations to begin the new week in positive territory, after the Dow Jones posted new records. Meanwhile, the price of Brent crude has dropped under $US100 a barrel. Follow our live business blog.
Corroboration
No verdict, no pronouncement. The model extracts atomic factual claims with verbatim quotes; every quote is validated against the source text and corroboration is computed by counting how many editorially-opposed blocs assert each fact. 4 fabricated/unverifiable quotes were rejected by the cite-or-die gate.
The spine · 1 fact corroborated across ≥2 opposed blocs
2×broadly confirmedThe Australian share market (ASX) opened higher on the day of the report.
otherwestern
abc_au“The Australian share market is likely to start its day higher”
morningstar.com.au“The Australian share market has moved higher”
Contested · 1 — sources conflict; shown, not resolved
⚔ Direct contradiction on the direction of the ASX opening on the day of the report.
A ASX to open higher
B ASX to open lower
Single-source · 23 — reported by one bloc only (uncorroborated)
Oil prices rose to a one-week high due to conflicting updates regarding US-Iran peace talks.
abc_au
AI stocks pushed Wall Street to record highs.
abc_au
The US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady.
afr.com
Kevin Warsh is the new chairman of the US Federal Reserve.
afr.com
ASX futures were down 65 points (0.7%) to 8888.
afr.com
Wall Street slipped after the Fed held rates for the fourth meeting in a row.
afr.com
The FTSE 100 closed at a record high of 10,686.18 points, up 1.2%.
au.headtopics.com
The FTSE 250 midcap index added 0.5% to a four-year high.
au.headtopics.com
Antofagasta rose 10.5% and Anglo American rose 4.6%.
au.headtopics.com
Glencore rose 4.4% after reporting slightly lower annual earnings and announcing a $US2 billion shareholder payout.
au.headtopics.com
US stock futures advanced modestly early Tuesday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to a fresh record close.
cnbc.com
Dow futures rose by 20 points (0.04%), S&P 500 futures added 0.16%, and Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.47%.
cnbc.com
Japan's Nikkei 225 added 0.86% to close at 70,062.32.
cnbc.com
South Korea's Kospilost lost 0.97% to 8,476.48.
cnbc.com
Australia's benchmark S&P/ASX 200 was 0.51% lower, closing at 8,778.7.
cnbc.com
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged down 0.94%.
cnbc.com
The mainland's CSI 300 was up 0.88%.
cnbc.com
AeroVironment shares popped 19% in after-hours trading after reporting fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.84 per share on revenue of $642 million.
cnbc.com
The S&P 500 rose 1.18% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 2.07% on Monday.
cnbc.com
The Dow jumped 306.63 points (0.59%) on Monday.
cnbc.com
The S&P/ASX 200 index finished Monday up 59.2 points (0.68%) at 8,823.4.
morningstar.com.au
The broader All Ordinaries gained 62.7 points (0.7%) to 9,026.9 on Monday.
morningstar.com.au
Eight of the ASX's 11 sectors finished higher on Monday.
morningstar.com.au
Framing · 7 — loaded language surfaced (spin shown, not adopted)
abc_au
“Oil prices jump to a one-week high as the US and Iran provide conflicting updates about how peace talks between the warring nations are progressing.”
→ Oil prices increased due to conflicting information about US-Iran peace talks.
afr.com
“Investors fear Warsh’s views on inflation could stoke volatility”
→ Investors are concerned that Warsh's inflation views might cause market volatility.
au.headtopics.com
“London’s FTSE 100 closed at a fresh peak on Wednesday after signs of cooling inflation bolstered expectations of a Bank of England rate cut as soon as March, while miners rallied on surging metal prices.”
→ The FTSE 100 reached a new peak due to cooling inflation expectations and rising metal prices.
au.headtopics.com
“Investors keep piling into UK assets as these hardly feature battered technology or software stocks and instead benefit from high energy and precious metal prices”
→ Investors are buying UK assets because they are not technology-heavy and benefit from energy and metal prices.
cnbc.com
“Stocks rallied in Monday's regular session, as apause in hostilitiesbetween the U.S. and Iran lifted sentiment.”
→ Stocks increased on Monday because a pause in US-Iran hostilities improved market sentiment.
morningstar.com.au
“Back and forth, back and forth, the war in the Middle East is like a tennis match that just won't end (a hybrid cricket/tennis match?)”
→ Kiwibank economists described the Middle East war as a repetitive, ongoing conflict.
morningstar.com.au
“But despite the fresh hostilities, markets were pricing in a peace deal as highly likely, and quite a few oil tankers had managed to get out of the strait during the small window of peace”
→ Markets believed a peace deal was likely despite recent hostilities, and oil tankers moved during a ceasefire window.
Entities
SpaceXorg
Wall Streetplace
Federal Reserveorg
Sydney Stock Exchangeorg
DOWorg
Wall St.place
AI stocksorg
MorningStarorg
AFRorg
ASXplace
Australian Financial Revieworg